Penn State vs Buffalo Prediction: Another Nittany Lion Scrimmage

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Penn State (2-0) continues to treat the first few weeks of the season like light scrimmages, beating Marshall and Temple by a combined score of 102-9 to get the Matt Campbell era off to a big start.

Before the start of the Big Ten season, the Nittany Lions aren’t exactly pushing the envelope against Buffalo (1-1). The Bulls struggled against FIU last week, but there’s just enough talent in place to keep this from getting too brutal.

Penn State vs Buffalo: Quick Hits

  • Buffalo gets a breather against Robert Morris next week – its second game of the year against an FCS team. The MAC Season starts in early October against Western Michigan.
  • Penn State starts the Big Ten season against Wisconsin next week, its third home game in the first four weeks.
  • Penn State is 3-0 all-time against the Bulls, winning 45-13 in 2019, 27-14 in 2015, and 45-24 in 2007.

How To Watch Penn State vs Buffalo

Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
TV: BTN
Location: Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA
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Why Buffalo Will Win

The Buffalo run defense has been solid so far, and Penn State is struggling to get the ground attack going.

It’s the one aspect of the Penn State start of the season that’s been relatively inexcusable – it’s averaging fewer than four yards per carry, even though it has committed to the ground game.

Buffalo has a great pair of safeties in Ronnell Davis and SaVeon Brown who hit everything, and linebacker Stevie Bracey should get in on at least ten tackles. However …

Why Penn State Will Win

Penn State quarterback Rocco Becht has been magnificent from the start. The Iowa State transfer is getting time to throw, and he’s connecting, hitting 76% of his throws with seven touchdowns and no picks.

Buffalo generated three sacks in the opener against Albany, and then got picked clean by FIU’s JJ Kohl – another Iowa State transfer, by the way – for 367 yards and three touchdowns, hitting big play after big play.

Penn State vs Buffalo Prediction, Betting Lines

Penn State’s offensive line has been fine, but again, the ground game has to find a groove. There aren’t any plays happening in the backfield, but the Nittany Lions are just not blasting away.

Buffalo will hold up okay against the Nittany Lion ground game, but Becht will play pitch-and-catch all afternoon. There won’t be any drama.

Penn State 45, Buffalo 6
Latest Consensus Line: Penn State -40.5, o/u: 50.5
ATS Confidence (out of 5): 2
Must See Rating (out of 5): 2

Consensus line based on BetMGM, Caesars, DraftKings, and FanDuel. Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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